Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.152279 0.168636 0.185369 0.203725 0.223256 0.243378 0.265634
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.129622 0.152260 0.176288 0.203553 0.233497 0.265250 0.301338
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113624 0.140626 0.170221 0.204772 0.243712 0.285968 0.335013
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.099605 0.129537 0.163339 0.203832 0.250526 0.302214 0.363282
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090925 0.123586 0.161452 0.207826 0.262334 0.323662 0.397169
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081856 0.116261 0.157192 0.208390 0.269661 0.339645 0.424629
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073808 0.109439 0.152896 0.208348 0.275823 0.353957 0.449960
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066199 0.102504 0.147891 0.206940 0.279942 0.365574 0.471946
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060872 0.098076 0.145637 0.208585 0.287492 0.381083 0.498426
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057793 0.096375 0.146648 0.214153 0.299747 0.402196 0.531618
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053053 0.092012 0.143883 0.214655 0.305524 0.415360 0.555240
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050340 0.090280 0.144429 0.219294 0.316408 0.434732 0.586402
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046507 0.086758 0.142495 0.220732 0.323401 0.449613 0.612566
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042347 0.082435 0.139207 0.220171 0.327697 0.461088 0.634572
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039086 0.079217 0.137259 0.221246 0.334001 0.475026 0.659635
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035466 0.075145 0.133857 0.220143 0.337312 0.485110 0.679894
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033649 0.073819 0.134317 0.224283 0.347502 0.503920 0.711096
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031012 0.070925 0.132304 0.224841 0.352839 0.516504 0.734510
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028436 0.067918 0.129950 0.224777 0.357242 0.527839 0.756347
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025735 0.064455 0.126709 0.223286 0.359592 0.536446 0.774700
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023984 0.062545 0.125756 0.225010 0.366278 0.550677 0.800244
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023250 0.062455 0.127631 0.230863 0.378670 0.572428 0.835512
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.021459 0.060208 0.125954 0.231389 0.383636 0.584414 0.858277